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Fantasy Football Week 2 Believe it or not: Dolphins fly up, Drake London over Kyle Pitts, Carson Wentz top 12

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Last week I wrote that Week 1 was the hardest time for Fantasy Football analysis because it was so tempting to throw six months of research into a week of football. Week 2 feels easier because we have more information, but it’s also more dangerous because two weeks of football shouldn’t give you that much confidence.

After all, Jonathan Taylor was RB23 after two weeks last year. Tyler Lockett, Adam Thielen and Amari Cooper were all top-five wide receivers. Noah Fant was the number 5 tight end. We have a lot of new information since August, now it’s time to analyze what that means.

Tua Tagovailoa can support two top-15 WRs

The case: Heading into Monday Night Football is Tyreek Hill WR2 and Jaylen Waddle is WR4 for the season. Tagovailoa is QB2 himself after lighting up the Baltimore Ravens for 469 yards and six touchdowns on Sunday. All concerns about whether Hill and Waddle can co-exist as No. 1 Fantasy-wide recipients have been answered and it certainly looks like they’ll elevate Tagovailoa to a novice Fantasy QB as well.

The verdict: Do not believe it.

Just a week ago, the Dolphins scored one offensive touchdown against the Patriots. This secondary Ravens was arguably the worst in football last year, coming into this game with almost no one completely healthy. The Dolphins’ furious comeback was one of the most immersive football games we’ve seen this year, but they also scored just 14 points in the first three quarters of this game.

In the next two weeks we will see this team take on the Bills and the Bengals. If they prove it against those two defenses, I’ll believe it. This isn’t exactly a sell-high situation unless you’re selling really high, but don’t go and buy Hill or Waddle at their current price. Especially with this play-off schedule:

  • at Buffalo
  • Green Bay
  • in New England
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Drake London is the best pass-catching option on the Falcons

The case: Over two weeks, London has seen nine more goals than Pitts, made nine passes, scored 122 more yards and scored as many touchdowns as Pitts in 19 games. It couldn’t be clearer who the number 1 option is.

The verdict: Believe it

This may seem like an overreaction, but only if you underestimate London as a prospect. He was a top-10 pick who dominated USC as a 20-year-old. He has just become the third-youngest player ever to complete 12 goals in a game. Only Larry Fitzgerald and David Boston did it at a younger age. London scored more Fantasy points than both.

Pitts is a tight end and still a tremendous value so I would absolutely recommend buying low. He is still my No. 5 tight end for the rest of the season. But it certainly looks like he will have to play second fiddle to Drake London. Don’t be surprised if Pitts production picks up once teams start to properly account for his rookie running mate.

Carson Wentz is a top-12 Fantasy QB until further notice

The case: Wentz threw 650 yards and seven touchdowns in his first two games as a Washington Commander. His 100.3 passer rating is his highest since 2018, as is his 7.5 yards per pass attempt. Frank Reich neutered Wentz last season, allowing him to throw only 30 passes per game, but Ron Rivera and Scott Turner free him with 87 tries in his first two games. If you’ve lost Trey Lance or lost faith in Tom Brady, then Carson Wentz is your man.

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The verdict: Believe it

I don’t necessarily believe Wentz is any better than he’s ever been, but the situation is definitely gold for Fantasy Point production. The defense is absolutely atrocious, the run game is mediocre at best and he’s surrounded by the best set of weapons he’s ever played with. As long as he’s got Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, Jahan Dotson, Logan Thomas and some excellent pass-catching backs, I’ll start Wentz as a low-end top-12 guy.

If they all stay healthy, he will have the best year of his career.

Tony Pollard becomes RB’s top-scoring Cowboys for the rest of the season

The case: The Cowboys ended up using their best backs more often and he continued to outdo Ezekiel Elliott. In Week 2, Pollard saw three touches less than Elliott, but doubled the veteran’s yards and more than tripled his Fantasy points.

Perhaps, more importantly, the Cowboys showed they see it. Pollard got a goal line carry (and he scored) and he received seven goals before Elliott’s two. The notebook is on the wall, don’t be surprised if Pollard sees more touches next week.

The verdict: Do not believe it

Like the dolphins, this is another situation where week 2 doesn’t match week 1 at all. In week 1, it was Elliott who averaged more than five yards per carry, while Pollard produced eight yards on six carries. And carrying the goal line may have just been a reward for a long catch and run Pollard had during the previous game where he was tackled in one. Week 2 was a data point, and it could point to something in the future, but for now I would still barely take Elliott over Pollard and I still expect him to see most of the details in Week 3.

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There are no must-start Cardinals in Week 3 against the Rams

The case: This offense only looked good in the knockout time and they still have to play a good defense. Now James Conner is hurt too. You better ignore this whole offense against Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and his company.

The verdict: Do not believe it.

First, the garbage time still counts. Murray is QB8 in the season coming in Monday Night and Ertz is TE5. Second, despite their many superstars, the Rams don’t really shut everyone down. They were destroyed by the bills in week 1 and Marcus Mariota had a useful performance against them beyond his turnover.

You have to keep starting Murray and Ertz and I wouldn’t blame you for continuing to trust Marquise Brown as a WR3. If Rondale Moore is still not there, you may want to use Greg Dortch as Flex there as well.

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