Steelers vs. Browns odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, NFL predictions by advanced model


Mike Tomlin leads the Pittsburgh Steelers out for a Week 3 game against a division rival. The Steelers will visit the Cleveland Browns for a Thursday night football game between 1-1 teams. Pittsburgh lost to the New England Patriots by a 17-14 margin on Sunday. Cleveland collapsed under the weight of a 13-point lead in Week 2, eventually falling for the New York Jets, and the Browns will try to respond after losing both games to the Steelers during the 2021 season.

Kick-off is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under, or total points Vegas says will be scored, is 38 in Steelers vs. browns. Before you see Browns vs. Steelers, you must ensure that: view NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has risen more than $7,000 since its inception for $100 players on the top-rated NFL picks. Model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 139-102 run at the top level NFL Picks dating from the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four out of the past six years on NFL straight picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times in that span. Anyone who has followed it is far away.

Now the model has set his sights on Steelers vs. brownsand just locked in his Thursday Night Football picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now, here are several NFL Odds and bet lines for Browns vs. Steelers:

  • Steelers vs. Browns Spread: Browns -4.5
  • Steelers vs. Browns over/under: 38 points
  • Steelers vs. Browns Money Line: Browns -220, Steelers +180
  • PIT: Steelers are 9-10-1 against the spread in the last 20 games
  • CLE: Browns are 8-11 against the spread in the last 19 games
  • Steelers vs. Browns Choices: See choices at SportsLine

Why the Steelers can cover?

Pittsburgh has strengths, but the Steelers should also take advantage of Cleveland’s shortcomings so far in the season. On offense, Cleveland is below the NFL average in passing yards and yards per attempt, and that project continues with Deshaun Watson suspended. In defense, the Browns battled the Jets in a striking fashion last week, losing 31 points, and Cleveland allowing 27.5 points per game. Cleveland is well below average in passing yards allowed, passing touchdowns allowed, net yards per pass attempt allowed, and third down defense. Pittsburgh is also strong on defense, allowing just 37 points in two games.

The Steelers have a top star in Minkah Fitzpatrick, who has already had two interceptions this season, and Pittsburgh is near the top of the league in interceptions (five) and revenue creation (25%). Opponents only produce 4.0 yards per carry on the ground against the Steelers, and Mike Tomlin has an excellent reputation for having his team ready in difficult situations, such as a short week on the road in division play.

Why the Browns can cover?

Cleveland’s offense has gotten off to a flying start and is firmly in the top 10 in the NFL in several categories, including points per game, points per ride, yards per carry and rushing yards. In defense, the Browns are also hugely talented, and Cleveland is above average in total allowable at just 330.5 per game. Cleveland is in the top 10 with just 35 first downs and opponents have just 147 rushing yards against the Browns in two games. That includes 3.8 yards per carry allowed, and Myles Garrett is one of the best defenders in the NFL.

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A dynamic defense team, Garrett has been selected as an All-Pro for the past two seasons and has four consecutive campaigns with double-digit sacks. Garrett has three sacks in two games this season and is leading a Cleveland defense that should thrive against a struggling attack in Pittsburgh. The Steelers have just two offensive touchdowns this season, and Pittsburgh is in the bottom 10 in total yards, first downs, passing yards, net yards per pass attempt, points per drive and yards per carry. Mitchell Trubisky of Pittsburgh averages just 5.1 yards per attempt this season and has completed less than 35% of the throws with at least 10 air yards.

How Browns vs. Steelers choices to make

SportsLine’s model leans forward on the total, scoring 40 combined points. The model also says that one side of the spread appears in more than 50% of the simulations. You can watch the Steelers vs. Browns picks of the model only seen on SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread is more than 50% of the time on? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Steelers spread you have to jump all of the model which is 139-102 on NFL picksAnd invent.