Steelers vs. Browns odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, NFL predictions by top model


The Cleveland Browns will try to come back from a brutal loss when they take the field on Thursday Night Football. The Browns led by 13 points with less than two minutes left in Week 2, only to lose to the New York Jets with a margin of one point. Cleveland is now turning around and playing just a few days later, welcoming the Pittsburgh Steelers to FirstEnergy Stadium. The Browns and Steelers are both 1-1 after Pittsburgh dropped a three-point game against New England in its last outing on the field.

Kick-off is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Cleveland as a 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under, or total points Vegas says will be scored, is 38 in Steelers vs. browns. Before you see Browns vs. Steelers, you must ensure that: view NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model that every NFL game 10,000 times, has increased over $7,000 for the highest rated $100 players NFL Picks since its inception. Model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 139-102 run at the top level NFL Picks dating from the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four out of the past six years on NFL straight picks, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times in that span. Anyone who has followed it is far away.

Now the model has set his sights on Steelers vs. brownsand just locked in his Thursday Night Football picks and predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now, here are several NFL Odds and bet lines for Browns vs. Steelers:

  • Steelers vs. Browns Spread: Browns -4.5
  • Steelers vs. Browns over/under: 38 points
  • Steelers vs. Browns Money Line: Browns -220, Steelers +180
  • PIT: Steelers are 9-10-1 against the spread in the last 20 games
  • CLE: Browns are 8-11 against the spread in the last 19 games
  • Steelers vs. Browns Choices: See choices at SportsLine

Why the Steelers can cover?

Pittsburgh has strengths, but the Steelers should also take advantage of Cleveland’s shortcomings so far in the season. On offense, Cleveland is below the NFL average in passing yards and yards per attempt, which is a project to continue with Deshaun Watson suspended. In defense, the Browns battled the Jets in a striking fashion last week, losing 31 points, and Cleveland allowing 27.5 points per game. Cleveland is well below average in passing yards allowed, passing touchdowns allowed, net yards per pass attempt allowed, and third down defense. Pittsburgh is also strong on defense, allowing just 37 points in two games.

The Steelers have a top-tier star in Minkah Fitzpatrick, which already has two interceptions this season, and Pittsburgh is near the top of the league in interceptions (five) and revenue creation (25%). Opponents only produce 4.0 yards per carry on the ground against the Steelers, and Mike Tomlin has an excellent reputation for having his team ready in difficult situations, such as a short week on the road in division play.

Why the Browns can cover?

In addition to the home advantage advantage, Cleveland has a path to prosperity on both sides of the ball. The Browns have only one turnover in two games and put points on the scoreboard. Cleveland leads the league with points on 52.4% of offensive drives, and the Browns are in the top 10 in the NFL in points per game and points per possession. The Browns also average 380 yards per game, with top five points in rushing yards, yards per rush attempts and hasty touchdowns.

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Cleveland is also near the top of the NFL in first downs (52) and third down conversion rate (53.3%) on offense. The Pittsburgh offense also stumbles out of the blocks in 2022, scoring just two offensive touchdowns in two games. The Steelers are No. 30 in the NFL in total yards, No. 31 in first downs, No. 28 in passing yards, and No. 31 in net yards per pass attempt. Pittsburgh also averages just 3.8 yards per carry, and Myles Garrett can lead to a pass rush in terrorizing Mitch Trubisky and Pittsburgh’s passing attack.

How Browns vs. Steelers choices to make

SportsLine’s model leans forward on the total, scoring 40 combined points. The model also says that one side of the spread appears in more than 50% of the simulations. You can watch the Steelers vs. Browns picks of the model only seen on SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread is more than 50% of the time on? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Browns vs. Steelers spread you have to jump all of the model which is 139-102 on NFL picksAnd invent.